UFC on ABC 1: Calvin Kattar vs. Max Holloway odds, picks and prediction
In a featherweight bout in Saturday's main event, Calvin Kattar and Max Holloway meet at UFC on ABC 1 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The event is also known as UFC Fight Island 7. The prelims kick off at noon ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ABC/ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.
Kattar (22-4) heads into the octagon standing an identical 5-foot-11 as his counterpart, but he holds a three-inch reach advantage. He'll need it, as Holloway (21-6) has posted a 6.47 to 5.01 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, with a 44.57 to 41.40 lead in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. While Kattar is slightly ahead in takedown average at 0.47 to 0.22, Holloway is well ahead at 83.33 to 37.50 in takedown-accuracy percentage.
Kattar - a.k.a. "The Boston Finisher" - posted a unanimous-decision victory over Dan Ige last time out in the main event July 15, 2020. That followed up an impressive Round 2 KO/TKO over Jeremy Stephens on the UFC 249 card May 9, 2020. This will easily mark Kattar's biggest challenge to date. It's his second consecutive headliner event and third in the past four cards. In his 26 career professional fights, he is 11-0 via KO/TKO, with a 2-1 mark by way of submission, although his last win by tap came June 27, 2009, at WCF: World Championship Fighting 7 against Rodrigo Almeida. So, it's been quite a while.
Holloway is looking to bounce back after back-to-back losses to Alexander Volkanovski for the featherweight strap at UFC 245 and UFC 251. Holloway has dropped three of his past four bouts, including a setback against Dustin Poirier at UFC 236. He did defend his belt successfully on three occasions prior to that Poirier loss, and he won it back against Frankie Edgar at UFC 240. He remains positioned at the top of his weight division, and can get right back in the championship mix if he avoids a setback here.
This event will be broadcast on network television for the first time since a FOX broadcast in December 2018. It will also be the first time a limited number of fans can attend since UFC 248. The UFC is expecting around 2,000 fans, or less than 10 percent capacity.
Calvin Kattar vs. Max Holloway: Betting odds,predictions and picks
HOLLOWAY ( -165) will regain his championship form over Kattar (+140), so take Holloway on the 2-way line, although it certainly won't be a cakewalk. In fact, I am expecting the judges to get involved in the end, so take YES ( -175): " WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?" as well.
As far as round betting, again, take HOLLOWAY ON POINTS ( +125) for a decent little return as I don't expect to see any knockouts in this battle between two premier fighters. If you want a little bit of wiggle room, and don't want to tap a particular fighter for the win, taking OVER 4.5 ROUNDS ( -185) isn't a bad wager, and backing OVER 3.5 ROUNDS ( -200) isn't terribly expensive. Anything more expensive than that though is terribly risky for not that great of a return.
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